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2024-12-14 07:34:04

The winning bid rate of US 3-year Treasury bonds is slightly higher than the pre-issue trading level. The winning bid rate of US Treasury issued US$ 58 billion 3-year Treasury bonds is 4.117%, and the pre-issue trading level was 4.116% when the bidding closed at 1 pm new york time. The previous round of selling increased the yield by nearly 4 basis points. The market's response to the bidding results is minimal, and the yield of each term is still close to the intraday high. Primary dealers were allocated 15.1%, lower than the previous one; The proportion of direct bidders was increased to 20.7%, and the proportion of indirect bidders was reduced to 64.2%. The bid multiple is 2.58 times, and the average of the previous six times is 2.56 times.EIA: The net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% in 2025. The us energy information administration (EIA) said on Tuesday that it is expected that the net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% to 1.9 million barrels per day next year, which will be the lowest level since 1971, suggesting that the output of the United States will increase and the demand of refineries will decrease. EIA said in its Short-term Energy Outlook in December that the US oil production is expected to increase from 13.24 million barrels per day in 2024 to 13.52 million barrels per day in 2025. EIA also said that the crude oil processing capacity of refineries will be 16 million barrels per day in 2025, a decrease of 200,000 barrels per day compared with 2024. EIA now predicts that the average spot price of Brent crude oil in 2025 will be $73.58 per barrel, which is lower than the previous forecast of $76.06 per barrel. The average spot price of crude oil in the United States is $69.12 per barrel, which is lower than the last forecast of $71.60 per barrel.Institution: US CPI data may trigger currency and national debt fluctuations. Joseph Dahrieh, an analyst at Tickmill, said in a report that the US CPI data in November will be released later, which may provide important information for the Fed's policy prospects and may trigger short-term fluctuations in the currency and bond markets. The overall inflation rate is expected to rise from 2.6% in October to 2.7%. However, he said that stronger-than-expected data may delay the Fed's interest rate cut plan, which may continue the recent rally of the US dollar; The lower-than-expected inflation data may strengthen the expectation of a 25 basis point interest rate cut in December, putting downward pressure on the US dollar. In addition, he said that the yield of US Treasury bonds has stabilized recently, but it may also react strongly to the release of inflation data.


OPEC Monthly Report: Considering the recently received bearish data in the third quarter, the demand forecast for 2024 is lowered.Wells Fargo lowered the target price of LyondellBasell from $105.00 to $95.00.Tesla shares rose 1.5% before the market.


German Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: Berlin will hold a Weimar Triangle Foreign Ministers' Meeting on Thursday, with the participation of representatives from Italy, Spain, Britain and the European Union. The Ukrainian Foreign Minister will also attend the Berlin Conference; Ministers will discuss the developments in Syria.On the eve of the release of CPI data in November, a newly released report said that the leadership of the Bureau of Labor Statistics should be responsible for a series of mistakes this year. These mistakes brought the institution under scrutiny. However, the report issued by an expert team composed of government and private sector members said that none of these incidents had anything to do with the quality or accuracy of the agency's core data work. The report added that no potential motives for dishonesty or malice were found. Previously, the CPI of the United States was leaked in advance in April, and in August, the preliminary annual benchmark revised data of the non-farm payrolls report was released more than 30 minutes after the original release time of 10: 00 a.m. The survey found that the modernization of technology and software of this institution was hindered by insufficient funds, which made it impossible to ensure that its processes and systems kept pace with technological progress. The investigation team proposed to re-plan the enterprise training for front-line staff and revise the emergency plan to reduce the risk of untimely release. It is reported that the US Bureau of Labor Statistics has removed contractors from key positions and limited these functions to federal staff.Market information: US Senate Minority Leader McConnell is receiving treatment after falling.

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